Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 7.581168 8.803428 10.120986 11.642206 13.345312 15.188427 17.328934
2025-12-07 5.870636 7.491198 9.369842 11.690536 14.460954 17.642426 21.551118
2025-12-14 4.877550 6.696064 8.924422 11.818824 15.438475 19.773237 25.310252
2025-12-21 4.128021 6.041592 8.501494 11.835160 16.167801 21.536582 28.611595
2025-12-28 3.672458 5.683650 8.378131 12.163361 17.243247 23.716820 32.465987
2026-01-04 3.271521 5.335763 8.209533 12.381472 18.144453 25.673802 36.078515
2026-01-11 2.888664 4.958216 7.947964 12.425788 18.780999 27.277857 39.261210
2026-01-18 2.461370 4.456360 7.450755 12.080305 18.832063 28.068485 41.358829
2026-01-25 2.121186 4.044672 7.039781 11.811796 18.950530 28.925574 43.544984
2026-02-01 1.823395 3.662259 6.631895 11.504561 18.975152 29.627727 45.514699
2026-02-08 1.573853 3.328300 6.264837 11.222377 19.003871 30.315024 47.462935
2026-02-15 1.346361 3.002246 5.876569 10.869731 18.892007 30.775399 49.081055
2026-02-22 1.216090 2.841703 5.754671 10.941214 19.441621 32.235972 52.211298
2026-03-01 1.095488 2.683599 5.621176 10.980250 19.935793 33.625478 55.276866
2026-03-08 1.000506 2.563552 5.542620 11.101930 20.560302 35.225227 58.693970
2026-03-15 0.902048 2.422176 5.410432 11.117446 21.005101 36.555798 61.736907
2026-03-22 0.849740 2.373405 5.446755 11.429332 21.949484 38.687692 66.050933
2026-03-29 0.790079 2.299770 5.427508 11.636645 22.722039 40.568211 70.024710
2026-04-05 0.718778 2.188697 5.323465 11.678772 23.209448 42.004456 73.342353
2026-04-12 0.619947 1.995291 5.033413 11.350398 23.033672 42.359302 74.967663
2026-04-19 0.539476 1.833713 4.792309 11.095246 22.967656 42.880941 76.859006
2026-04-26 0.465760 1.676176 4.542862 10.803362 22.815917 43.247373 78.501454
2026-05-03 0.402682 1.535438 4.314864 10.535342 22.689045 43.642776 80.190798